Skip to main content

Watching Ex-Hurricane Helene

Watching Ex-Hurricane Helene


NOAA wants to track Helene through Ireland, and forecasts it to travel North Eastwards through the United Kingdom, it seems, with the strongest winds in Ireland, Northern England, and the border region in Scotland, western coasts of Wales, and NW. coasts of England, and the coastal border region in West Southern Scotland, bearing the brunt of the strongest winds going by NOAA in seems.

Going by the GFS we see Helene, slightly deepen as a low pressure system but not drastically so, the main centre of the low pressure system seems to travel through the Irish sea, however winds on the coasts of Eastern Ireland, and Southern Ireland will be very strong still, she tracks towards parts of Southern Scotland, Northern England bringing strong winds also. Wind gusts look around  50-70 mph for Western and Northern England, Scotland, NW Wales, and Coastal Eastern Ireland, winds in the Irish sea could be even more gusty with winds over 70 expected (gusts)

Elsewhere does look blustery with gusts over 40mph, Western coasts of Ireland could be less blustery with weaker gusts, but overall it doesn't seem like elsewhere will see damaging winds as elsewhere in the UK and Ireland.

It seems like Ex-Hurricane Helene will hit on Monday evening, probably lasting until Tuesday before the strong winds pass through the North Sea.

Warnings from the United Kingdom Met Office have been issues for Western coastal areas of England and Wales.


The Irish Met Office, Met Éireann has no weather warnings issue as of now, but I'm sure eventually Eastern Coastal areas of Ireland at least will have some wind warnings if the GFS turns out to be true.

Going by the GFS, it seems like the rain will be restricted to the Ireland and Scotland, however I do expect that England, at least the West, and Wales should get some rain here and there.


More Updates regarding Helene should be expected along the Weekend up until Monday, when I do a final update about Helene.


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Spring Forecast

Spring Forecast March I'm expecting an unsettled, chillier than average or average start to March but not particularly cold. But quite quickly I expect high pressure to reestablish over the UK, possibly mid-month. Which for a time could bring quite mild weather for March. I expect it to become quite a bit drier also, maybe very dry, the dry weather could be alleviated in some areas by one off downpours here and there. In my personal opinion, I do think we could see some exceptionally mild weather later in March too. That's just my opinion. April in my view I think things may switch a bit to be on the cooler side, northerly winds could become prominent in this month, I do think there could be some snowfall when we do get northerly winds but whereabouts is obviously unknown at this stage. But personally I think April will be a cooler than average or average month. Rainfall I think it could be a bit drier than average for some parts or on the average side. (Here...

Warmest-Coldest Novembers on Record Since 1947

Warmest-Coldest Novembers on Record Since 1947 Station Data: Waddington Mean Temperature (Celsius) Coldest Bottom, Warmest Top. 1994: 9.10 2015: 9.10 2011: 8.80 2009: 8.25 2014: 8.15 1978: 8.10 1997: 8.05 2006: 7.95 2003: 7.80 1951: 7.80 2018: 7.75 2002: 7.70 1963: 7.60 1953: 7.55 1984: 7.55 2004: 7.50 1999: 7.40 1982: 7.35 1995:7.35 1986: 7.35 2007: 7.30 1983: 7.15 1981: 7.15 1970: 7.10 2001: 7.10 1955: 7.00 2008: 6.90 2017: 6.90 1964: 6.80 1992: 6.75 1960: 6.70 2000: 6.60 1947: 6.55 1990: 6.50 2012: 6.40 1972: 6.35 1980: 6.25 1977: 6.20 2005: 6.20 1954: 6.15 1948: 6.15 1991: 6.15 1989: 6.15 1979: 6.15 1987: 6.15 2013: 6.10 1968: 6.10 1959: 6.05  1956: 5.95 1974: 5.95 1957: 5.95 2016: 5.90 1949: 5.90 1961: 5.70 1971: 5.65 1958: 5.65 1996: 5.50 1975: 5.45 1950: 5.40 1973: 5.40 1976: 5.35 1998: 5.20 2010: 5.15 1967: 5.05 1966: 5.00 1988: 5.00 1962: 4.85 1969: 4.65 1993: 4.60 1965: 4.15 1952: 3.70 ...

Winter Forecast 2018/19

Winter Forecast 2019 Not for definite, and my personal opinion, from what I've seen. I think this Winter personally will be quite chilly, becoming colder, with a quite chilly December,  (not overly cold) with some snow, possibly similar to last year, but I think the snow in December won't come as early as 2017, probably a bit later. I don't think that December 2018, will be a severe cold month, no December 2009, 1995, or 2010 (of course) But I don't see a overly mild December like 2015, 2016 etc. I do think that December 2018 will probably be similar to 2017, in terms of temperatures possibly a bit milder. Overall quite an average month in terms of rainfall, due to a very mild and unsettled first half, we'll probably see some northerly incursions giving a few snow showers, we will probably see high pressure interludes more than usual, but at the same time I don't think this December will solely be dominated by high pressure. This December will probabl...